Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 6.338546e-01 0.791584 0.960422 1.152715 1.363912 1.587265 1.839845
2025-02-16 4.358936e-01 0.654984 0.910158 1.220431 1.579862 1.976730 2.442140
2025-02-23 3.144634e-01 0.554252 0.853060 1.233775 1.690474 2.208217 2.828292
2025-03-02 2.014400e-01 0.436832 0.754996 1.181388 1.711161 2.327055 3.079055
2025-03-09 1.188888e-01 0.336611 0.660127 1.116949 1.703985 2.402311 3.269561
2025-03-16 6.936289e-02 0.269296 0.597433 1.083734 1.727076 2.507008 3.488831
2025-03-23 4.573568e-02 0.238442 0.581694 1.108802 1.820338 2.693960 3.803535
2025-03-30 2.567408e-02 0.203384 0.553331 1.112134 1.882540 2.840719 4.068516
2025-04-06 1.014660e-02 0.163837 0.510304 1.089623 1.907319 2.938589 4.272510
2025-04-13 5.501028e-03 0.154160 0.517184 1.139052 2.027232 3.155072 4.620532
2025-04-20 2.487436e-03 0.145541 0.524329 1.187978 2.145995 3.369933 4.966627
2025-04-27 9.973363e-04 0.141245 0.538773 1.247603 2.279187 3.603146 5.335480
2025-05-04 4.387344e-04 0.144541 0.571406 1.340797 2.466010 3.914081 5.812169
2025-05-11 9.198910e-08 0.136930 0.581245 1.399083 2.606379 4.168126 6.222052
2025-05-18 NaN 0.119636 0.567314 1.417680 2.690133 4.348356 6.539481
2025-05-25 NaN 0.086191 0.508937 1.360039 2.664211 4.385335 6.677738
2025-06-01 NaN 0.056641 0.447447 1.290803 2.617536 4.392245 6.775883
2025-06-08 NaN 0.038790 0.408101 1.254805 2.615452 4.454922 6.941546
2025-06-15 NaN 0.033041 0.404655 1.281934 2.705565 4.639392 7.261102
2025-06-22 NaN 0.025058 0.389123 1.285528 2.760002 4.775965 7.519683
2025-06-29 NaN 0.015657 0.360035 1.261193 2.771162 4.853741 7.702791
2025-07-06 NaN 0.014929 0.371417 1.314608 2.900108 5.090141 8.088835
2025-07-13 NaN 0.014196 0.382469 1.367400 3.028227 5.325623 8.473985